66br-66br cassino-66br casino

777-cocl777ImageA message in Madison, Wis., before a key Supreme Court race.Credit...Jamie Kelter Davis for The New York Times

It can feel as if the Democratic Party has a lot of work to do before it is ready to win elections again. Its agenda appears exhausted. Its voters are disillusioned. Its politicians have struggled to muster vigorous opposition to President Trump.

But tonight — and on many Tuesday nights for the next few years — the election results might just make it easy to forget about the party’s woes.

Already, Democrats have fared well in special elections since Mr. Trump’s inauguration. On average, they’ve run 12 percentage points ahead of Kamala Harris’s showing across 11 special elections, according to data collected by The Downballot. This includes flipping two reliably Republican State Senate districts in Iowa and Pennsylvania.

The pattern of Democratic strength seems likely to continue today, when voters in Florida’s First and Sixth Districts go to the polls to replace Matt Gaetz and the beleaguered national security adviser Michael Waltz. Democrats are not expected to win these races, but there’s every indication of a competitive race in the Sixth District, where Mr. Trump won by 30 points in November. Democrats have even more reason for optimism in the regularly scheduled election for Supreme Court in Wisconsin.

If you’re a longtime reader, Democratic strength in special and off-year elections will not come as a complete surprise. Throughout the Trump era, Democrats have excelled in low-turnout elections, as the party appears to fare best among the most highly engaged, regular voters. This strength is partly attributable to the party’s advantages among college graduates, but the advantage runs even deeper than demographics.

Estimated Harris support among voters in previous Wisconsin Supreme Court elections

YEAR

EST. HARRIS VOTE SHARE

2024 RESULT

2023

54%

2020

57%

2019

52%

It has also enabled many more people to eat meat more often than ever before, which has in turn put pressure on governments to both keep meat prices affordable and reduce its climate hoofprint.

2018

53%

49.6% Dem.

66br casino

Estimated Harris support among voters in previous Wisconsin Supreme Court elections

YEAR

EST. HARRIS VOTE SHARE

2024 RESULT

2023

54%

2020

57%

2019

52%

2018

53%

49.6% Dem.

Source: New York Times/Siena College polls in Wisconsin; voter file data from L2

By The New York Times

We are having trouble retrieving the article content.

Please enable JavaScript in your browser settings.

Thank you for your patience while we verify access. If you are in Reader mode please exit and log into your Times account, or subscribe for all of The Times.

Thank you for your patience while we verify access.

Already a subscriber? Log in.

Want all of The Times? Subscribe.soar777